تفاصيل الوثيقة نوع الوثيقة : مقال في مجلة دورية  عنوان الوثيقة : TIME-SERIES ANALYSIS OF UNDER FIVE MORTALITY IN ALEXANDRIA TIME-SERIES ANALYSIS OF UNDER FIVE MORTALITY IN ALEXANDRIA   لغة الوثيقة : الانجليزية  المستخلص : The aim ot this study is to analyze levels, trend and seasonal patterns of under-5 mortality in Alexandria, In order to fulfill this aim. a retrospective study IS conducted to collect recorded data about under-5 deaths and live births from 1996 to 2001 from Health Information Center and CAPMAS in Alexandria. Causes of death are categorized using the ICD-10. Several trend equations were tried to select the best fit trend equation. Seasonality is tested using the 12-month moving average method. The predicted value for under-5 mortality rates for the year 2002 IS calculated using the bestfit trend equation and the seasonal Index and compared to the actual levels to test the validity of the prediction models The study revealed a significant downward trend of U5MR PNMR and CMR while the NMR does not show significant decrease over the study period. The peak seasonal index of U5MRis in December followedby summer months, those of NMR and CMRare in summer and PNMR is mainly in winter. Maximumindex of U5MRdue to ARI is in winter while rates related to congenital malformations are in autumn whiledeaths due to perinatal conditionsare mainly in Mayand June, and external causes of injuryare mainlyin summer. Thoughthe picture is promisingspecial emphasis is still needed for ARI, congenital anomalies and perinatal conditions.  ردمد : 0307-5133  اسم الدورية : THE JOURNAL OF THE EGYPTIAN  المجلد : 29  العدد : 3  سنة النشر : 1425 هـ 2004 م  نوع المقالة : مقالة علمية  تاريخ الاضافة على الموقع : Saturday, April 21, 2012  الباحثون اسم الباحث (عربي) اسم الباحث (انجليزي) نوع الباحث المرتبة العلمية البريد الالكتروني منى حسن hassan, mona باحث مشارك دكتوراه   الملفات اسم الملف النوع الوصف  32925.pdf pdf    32926.pdf pdf    32927.pdf pdf   الرجوع إلى صفحة الأبحاث